ENIVRONMENT ASIA

Volume 11, No. 03, Month SEPTEMBER, Year 2018, Pages 15 - 26

Verification of multi-models for an extreme event over egypt in january 2010

Amira S. Ibrahim1, Tarek Sayad, Endalkachew Bekele and Zeinab Salah

Abstract Download PDF

This case study represents a heavy rainfall event over Egypt. This event is in January17, 2010. Although the event occur in winter season, its impact was very unusual for the winter season. In this study attempt was made to perform diagnostic and prognostic analysis of the event. It was found out that the 2010 event was due to interaction between tropical and mid-latitude systems. In general, the ECMWF (European Center for Medium Range Weather Forecasts) model among the global models and WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting Model) model with the BM (Betts–Miller) convection scheme from the regional models performed better in predicting the characteristics of the event.

Keywords

Flash floods; WRF model; Global models

---