ENIVRONMENT ASIA

Volume 12, No. 01, Month JANUARY, Year 2019, Pages 93 - 101

Evaluation and projection of changes in temperature over northern thailand based on cmip5 models

Chakrit Chotamonsak, Punnathorn Thanadolmethaphorn, and Duangnapha Lapyai

Abstract Download PDF

This study evaluates changes of temperature using the sixth selected statistical downscaling CMIP5 models under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios. The analyses are focused over northern Thailand during the years 1970-2005 to ensure higher reliability in the observations, and during the years 2006-2099 to project future temperature changes. Overall, the selected CMIP5 models reproduce the observed monthly temperatures well with some slightly cold biases. The future projection indicates seasonal warming over northern Thailand. The increases in both projected maximum and minimum temperatures are higher under RCP8.5 scenario compared to that under RCP4.5 scenario.

Keywords

Evaluation; Projection; Temperature; Northern Thailand; CMIP5 Models

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