Sea Level Rise (SLR) is one of the most difficult elements to predict in the hydrological
cycle. 12% of the area of Peninsular Malaysia, where the western low plains of muddy
sediment are home to 2.5 million people, is vulnerable to flooding. In this study, two Artificial
Intelligence (AI) techniques were used to predict SLR, namely, the Multi-Layer Perceptron
Neural Network (MLP-NN) and Random Forest Regression (RFR) techniques. This studied,
two cases were presented. The first case (Case 1) was to establish the prediction model for
SLR by a monthly data set, while the second case (Case 2) was by means of a cyclical data
set. From sensitivity analysis result, it was found that the most effective meteorological
input parameters were rainfall (mm) and wind direction (degree). The performance of
the models was evaluated according to three statistical indices in terms of the correlation
coefficient (R), root mean square error (RMSE) and scatter index (SI). A comparison of
the results of the MLP-NN and RFR showed that the MLP-NN performed better than the
latter as the R obtained in Case 2 of the MLP-NN was 0.733 with 65.652 and 2.735 for
RMSE and SI respectively. Meanwhile, accuracy improvement percentage (%AI) was 8%.
Keywords
Sea level; ANN; Multi-layer Perceptron Neural Network; Random Forest Regression
ENIVRONMENT ASIA
Published by : Thai Society of Higher Education Institutes on Environment Contributions welcome at : http://www.tshe.org/en/
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